NFC Championship Game Betting Preview

It’s the battle of the bays in the NFC championship game on Sunday as the Green Bay Packers play host to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

At Bovada Sportsbook, the Packers are 4-point home favorites. Green Bay advanced to the conference championship last week with a 32-18 win over the Los Angeles Rams as a 7-point favorite.

Packers favored by 4 over Buccaneers at Lambeau Field

Green Bay has won seven straight with a 5-2 record against the spread. At home this season, the Packers have dominated with an 8-1 record straight up and a 6-3 mark ATS. Overall, Green Bay is 14-1 SU and 10-5 ATS in its last 15 at home.

The Packers own a 6-4 SU record and 7-3 ATS record in their last 10 playoff games. At home in the playoffs, Green Bay has won four straight at 3-1 ATS and is 5-1 SU and 4-1-1 ATS in the last six. When favored in the playoffs, the Packers are a strong 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS in their last eight.

Tampa Bay has won 7 straight games on the road

Tampa Bay got to the conference championship by getting past the New Orleans Saints 30-20 as a 2.5-point underdog. That was the Buccaneers’ sixth straight win (4-2 ATS). On the road, Tampa Bay has won seven straight, but one important note: they were favored in six of those wins. As a road underdog, the Buccaneers are 2-4 SU and ATS in their last six, and 4-11 SU and 6-7-2 ATS in their last 15.

In the playoffs, Tampa Bay is 5-2 SU and 4-3 ATS in its last seven. On the road in the playoffs, the Bucs have won three in a row SU, but they’re 3-6 SU in their last nine.

Bucs hammered Packers in Tampa in Week 6

The Packers and Buccaneers met up in Tampa Bay in Week 6 and the Buccaneers won 38-10 as a 2.5-point underdog. Including that game, the Packers are 5-5 SU and 4-6 ATS in their last 10 against the Buccaneers.

The numbers look much different when they meet up in Green Bay. At home to the Buccaneers, the Packers are 15-1 SU and 7-8-1 ATS in their last 16. In the last 18 matchups between these two, the home team is 15-3 SU.

The lone playoff meeting between the Packers and Buccaneers took place in the divisional round in 1998. Green Bay won 21-7 as a 12.5-point home favorite.