Colts Double Digit Underdogs on MNF

The Colts have traditionally been one of the safest Monday Night Football bets, going 7-1 ATS in their past eight games.

But do you trust Indy without Peyton Manning to go to Tampa Bay tonight and cover 10.5 points? Many believe the Colts can cover the number and many others are following the trends pointing to an OVER play.

Head to head, the Colts are 3-0 ATS recently against Tampa, who are a lame 0-5 ATS in five recent October home games. They have also failed to cover their past three Monday Nighters. [ Free MNF wager and 50% signup bonus - see what it's all about ]

Betting Line:
The Buccaneers are listed as 10-point favorites at sportsbooks, with the total listed at 42. [ Best Colts line is +10.5 at 5Dimes ]

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The game pits the Buccaneers, currently No. 27 in our OddsShark NFL Power Rankings, against the Colts, who rate No. 30 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 21-8 victory for the Buccaneers.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Tampa Bay's No. 17-ranked offense (20 PPG) against a Colts defense that ranks No. 29 at 28 PPG. The Buccaneers passing attack has averaged 223 yards per game, less than the Colts give up through the air (251.7 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Colts own the league's No. 30-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 167 yards per game when on the road. Tampa Bay, on the other hand, rates No. 25 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

The Colts were a 23-20 loser in their most recent outing at home against the Steelers. They covered the 11–point spread as underdogs, while the total score (43) made winners of OVER bettors. The Colts suffered a Week 3 loss against Pittsburgh in their last game, falling 23-20 at Lucas Oil Stadium.

Last time out for Tampa Bay, they were a 16-13 winner as they battled the Falcons at home. The Buccaneers covered in the match as a 1-point favorite, while 29 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. The Buccaneers grabbed a Week 3 victory over the Falcons in their last game, winning 16-13 at Raymond James Stadium.

Indianapolis Colts Trends:
When playing in October are 7-3
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 3-7

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Trends:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on grass are 7-3
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 7-3

A few Colts at Buccaneers trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indianapolis's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Indianapolis is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indianapolis's last 9 games
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games at home
Tampa Bay is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Indianapolis

Next up:
Indianapolis home to Kansas City, Sunday, October 9
Tampa Bay at San Francisco, Sunday, October 9