Thinking about putting all new tiles in my shower...
Click to enlarge and lemme know what you think of these tiles???
Kick off time baby, and we’re gonna rock the Falcons -4.5 points over the Packers in the early game (we bought at -4.5, now it’s -5.5). Everyone knows that I have a man-crush on Mr. Discount Double Check. Mr. We’re Gonna Run the Table. Mr Aaron Rodgers. Why not. He has led Green Bay to eight straight wins, with a 7-1 mark against the spread. His numbers have been off the chain (24 TDs and 1 INT during that stretch). You can cherry-pick any stat you want, and make a case for that team. Put those numbers aside for a minute and lets take a look at the other QB in this game, Matt Ryan. Matty Ice has been just as hot as Rodgers, maybe even hotter. How’s that possible? Okay, here. Atlanta has scored 71 more points than any other team in the NFL. Ryan's 117.1 passer rating led the league, and was the fifth-best in NFL history. He threw for 4,944 yards with 38 TDs and 7 INTs. And he is the odds-on favorite to win the regular season MVP. Speaking of the regular season, the Falcons posted a wild 33-32 win over the Pack down in Atlanta as a 3-point favorite. Win but no cover. Both QBs had similar numbers, but the stat line that really popped was Rodgers 60 yards rushing to LEAD the team. I’m totally positive that Mike McCarthy does NOT wanna have Aaron as the leading rusher again.
And speaking of coaches. Say hello to Atlanta’s Dan Quinn. Let me take you back to 2013 when DQ (which is my favorite ice cream joint, and Banana Split Blizzard is my go to) worked for Pete Carroll in his first season as defensive coordinator. The Seahawks pulled off the INCREDIBLE defensive HAT TRICK, leading the league in fewest points allowed (231), fewest yards allowed (4,378) and takeaways (39). Seattle was the FIRST team since the 1985 Bears to pull of the hat trick. In 2014, Quinn’s defense saw the Packers and Rodgers twice, winning 36-16 in the season opener, and 28-22 in the NFC championship game. So, apparently, he KNOWS how to hold Aaron in check. Gonna throw down on the ATL, and call it 31-22 with a dash of home cookin’.
In the AFC title tilt, we are all over the Steelers +6 points over Patriots. Didn’t use this number in the first game, but gotta throw an INSANE stat at you. Pittsburgh is playing its third game in this postseason. Went back like 10 years and did you know, teams that have advanced to the Super Bowl, playing four games, which we’re predicting for the Steelers, have posted a STUPID, AMAZING, RIDONKULOUS 24-0 record against the spread. Did I just say TWENTY FOUR AND OH!!! Very tough to buck that stat.
Also very tough to buck Tom Brady and Bill Belichick. You know that Double B is famous for taking away the other team’s main weapon. So, who’s he gonna take away Sunday? Le’Veon Bell? What about superstar WR Antonio Brown? Or the outlaw Jesse James at tight end who kinda looks like a baby Gronk? Tough decisions. If they try and stop Bell on the ground, the Steelers could send him out wide and cause all sorts of matchup problems. You listening Mike Tomlin?
And if you’re gonna throw New England’s 27-16 week seven win at Pittsburgh in my face, DON’T. Why? Three words, all caps. NO BEN ROETHLISBERGER! Yea, it was Landry Jones at QB, and his stat line, 29/47 for 281 yards with 1 TD and 1 INT, was less than stellar. Big Ben is back, and ready to rumble, and this time, there is NO GRONK, who actually was the high man in receiving yards (93) for that game. Both teams came down the stretch like Secretariat, Pitt winning nine in a row, with a 7-1-1 spread record, and the Pats winning eight in a row, with a 6-1-1 spread log. If you like the over/under totals, the under is 6-0 in New England’s last six conference championship games. And staying low, the Steelers have gone under in 16 of their last 22 games.
Never like to put my money on the opposite side of Tom Brady, but in this spot, just think that the Steel have too many weapons, and while they might not be playing on Super Sunday, a cover is all we ask for. Mark me down for a tight one, Patriots 27-24. Gimme half a Benjamin on each game.