final four 7777

  • Saturday, April 2, 2022

Las Vegas - Oh yea, heard that there might be two college basketball games today. You ready?

From Sweet, to Elite to the Final Four. It's about to go down in New Orleans, and as always, we have you covered.

In the first game, it's Kansas -4 points over Villanova. Woulda liked 'Nova as a dog in this spot, but after Justin Moore went down with an Achilles, it's almost impossible to back the kids from Philly. Moore was the second leading scorer for Jay Wright, averaging 14.8 points per game. Of course the Wildcats still have Collin Gillespie (15.6 ppg) and Jermaine Samuels (11.1 ppg), but we're thinking that losing Justin will be TOO much to overcome. Moore had just eight points in the last game, but he ate up 37 valuable minutes. Looked at the box score, and coach Wright had only TWO guys off the bench. Caleb Daniels for 35 minutes and Chris Arcidiacono for two minutes. Yea, TWO. So to say that Villanova is THIN would be an GIGANTIC understatement. You're probably too young to remember the Popeye cartoons, but Google Olive Oil. That's how THIN 'Nova is! The Jayhawks AIN'T thin, and they have the fabulous Ochai Agbaji. Ochai is one the five best players in the country, won the BIG 12 Player of the Year and WILL be starting in the NBA next season. Not thrilled about the free-throw disparity with Villanova hitting 53 of 59 (90%) while Kansas has made just 56 of 83 (67%). But we also have a little revenge on the table from the 2018 Final Four when the Wildcats PULVERIZED Kansas 95-79. Not gonna see a 16 point final margin here, but gonna ROCK the CHALK and roll with Jayhawks.

Also gonna throw down a quick prop bet and take Under 62.5 points in the 1st half.

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Didn't have a couple of THOUSAND bucks to buy ticket for this EPIC matchup, but will throw you a handful of words on the Duke/North Carolina game. First order of business is, DON'T even pay attention to the last regular season home game at Cameron Indoor. Sure Carolina whacked Duke 94-81, but the pressure surrounding that game was ENORMOUS. Eighty or ninety former Dookies formed a tunnel to welcome Coach K on to the court and the media attention was out of control. A few numbers for you. The Blue Devils have won 13 of the last 15, but covered only seven. The Tar Heels have won 10 of the last 11 and covered nine. Edge to the Heels. One of the key matchups will be in the paint between Mark Williams and Armando Bacot. Yea, we saw that Armando went NUTZ against St. Peter's with a GINORMOUS 20 point, 22 rebound monster, but hold on. Cinderella had mostly a bunch of talented shorties on the floor, while Williams tips the ruler at SEVEN FEET. And what has Williams done against Carolina? How about hitting 12-of-15 (80.0%) in the two games this season and keeping Bacot off the boards with just 12 rebounds combined. Very tough to pick against Duke because my heart is in Durham with Coach K and Mickie, but taking +4 might be the road to travel. Actually, the Wynn and Mirage here in Vegas are offering Carolina at +4.5, so we'll take a tiny bite. Just make sure it's skinny bite, a very light play.

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