Trends Say Patriots and OVER total

Sportsbooks typically hate it when the favorites cover the spread and the game goes over the total.

But both could hapen in the Patriots vs Dolphins Monday Nighter as most of the trends and wagering volume point that way.

In three of their past four visits to Miami, New England has put up 40 or more points. They are also 7-3 ATS their past 10 Monday Nighters on the road. [ Pocket a Free $10 MNF wager at TopBet.com along with a 50% signup bonus ]

The Patriot juggernaut stalled in the final weeks of the preseason but Dolphin incompetence in Week 1 historically (they are 1-5-1 ATS in the past seven 7 years) may encourage wagers on the Patriots Dolphins point spread as well. Add this stat - Miami is 0-7 ATS past 7 home games in September - and you have Patriot backers salivating here.

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The Pats were dominant in the first two weeks of the preseason, then faltered the final two. It hasn't stopped bettors from backing them heavily in this one [ check live NFL betting and wager during the game at 5Dimes while you pocket a 50% free play bonus ]

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Power Rankings / Prediction: This game matches up the No. 15 (Dolphins) and the No. 9 (Patriots) teams in the league, according to our current NFL Power Rankings at OddsShark. A 35-19 result in favor of the Patriots is predicted by handicapping models.

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New England Patriots Trends:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing within the division are 7-3

Miami Dolphins Trends:
When playing in September are 3-7
When playing on grass are 3-7
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing within the division are 4-6

A few Patriots at Dolphins trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 10 of New England's last 11 games
New England is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
New England is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Miami's last 16 games at home
Miami is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against New England
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing New England
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New England

Next up:
New England home to San Diego, Sunday, September 18
Miami home to Houston, Sunday, September 18