props

  • Saturday, February 1, 2020

Las Vegas - PROPALICIOUS!!! For those that might have been away this week, here's a recap of my favorite prop bets for the Super Bowl. The pick/winner coming at you tomorrow!!!

Starting with the Over/Under yardage numbers for both quarterbacks. Decided to pass on Patrick Mahomes and his 302.5 yard total. But we will drop some chips on Jimmy Garappolo and go UNDER 239.5 yards. Unless the 49ers ripped up their offensive scheme in the last two weeks, how can you not go UNDER!!! In the Divisional round, Jimmy G threw 19 passes and completed 11, for a total of 131 yards. San Francisco beat the Vikings 27-10. In the NFC Championship game, Jimmy GQ, yea, that's the nickname that won a contest at Niners Nation, threw 6 passes, yes, that's SIX and completed 8, for a STAGGERING total of 77 yards. Just a quick note about the nickname contest. The second place finisher was, OptimusDime, which I kinda like better than Jimmy GQ. Just saying. So, his total for the two playoff games was 208 yards, and now they're posting 239.5 on Super Sunday. Are you kidding me??? After reading all that, might have to push ALL my chips into the center of the table on this prop!

How many players will attempt a pass? The Over/Under is 2.5 players. So, we only need one flea-flicker, a jump pass from a running back, or, one of the starting QBs to get knocked silly and sit out for a few plays. Plus, we have two of the most adventurous offensive minds in the NFL (Andy Reid and Kyle Shanahan), so we're gonna drop some cash on the over. EASY over!

Next up, ZION! The cross-sport prop is: Williamson total points vs. total rushing attempts for Raheem Mostert.
Gonna roll with Zion to rock the party on National TV against Houston. In his first three games, Zion scored 22, 15 and 21. Now he gets a shot at a Mike D'Antoni coached Rocket team that has NEVER been known for playing D. EVER! And if the 49ers fall behind, you know they're gonna pass more than run. So gimme some Zion.

And for you golf fanatics, gonna run down to the Waste Management Phoenix Open, and look at the prop: What will be higher? Patrick Mahomes rushing attempts vs. Justin Thomas birdies in the final round. Of course, we did a little research for you and found out that JT shot a one over par 72, with ONLY three birds back in the final round of the 2019 tournament. Patrick M. took off eight times in the AFC title tilt against Tennessee and seven times in the divisional round against Houston. This IS one of my top five props. You could even call it a BEST BET BBAABBBEEE!!!

Every year, I drop a few chips on the, will there be a safety prop. Yes on the safety is +$800 and that's worth half a Benjamin.

Found a little treasure of a prop relating to the National Anthem. Will any scoring drive take less time than the National Anthem: Yes is -$280 vs. no +$200. Gotta pound the YES. Thinking that even if Demi Lovato blows thru the Anthem in a record low time, we're still talking almost two minutes. And there is NO DOUBT in my mind that there will be a scoring drive in less than two minutes. EASY MONEY! Maybe even another BEST BET BAABBEEE!!!

Then we move on to, player to score the first TD. Pushing a few chips in on Sammy Watkins at 15/1, and yes, Patrick Mahomes, at 20/1.

As long as we're talking TDs, how about, total TDs scored by both teams. Buying exactly 9 TDs at 10/1 for a quarter of a Benj, 8 TDs at 6/1 for half a Benj, and 7 TDs at 4/1 for a FULL Benjamin.

Noticed the total receptions prop for Kaycee RB Damien Williams listed at 3.5, and thinking this has gotta be an OVER! Why? Williams snagged five passes against the Titans in the AFC Championship Game and Patrick Mahomes loves those little dump-offs.

Found a really fun prop at the Westgate Sportsbook here in Vegas that should be an easy cash. The prop is, Jersey number of the first player to score a touchdown. The Over/Under is 26.5, and we'll try the Under. So, any jersey number from 26 down to 1 is a winner for the Under. From 27 on up is a loser. Since most of the higher numbers are defensive players or offensive lineman, Under should rock. Just look at the jersey numbers that are at 26 or lower on both teams. For the Chiefs, you got Mahomes (15), Tyreek Hill (10), Sammy Watkins (14), LeSean 'Shady' McCoy (25), and Williams (26). The only Kaycee jersey over 26.5 that scares me is Travis Kelce (87). For the 49ers, you got Jimmy Garappolo (10), Tevin Coleman (26), Deebo Samuel (19), Emmanuel Sanders (17) and Richard Sherman (25), because you never know when a pick six is gonna hit. The only San Francisco jerseys over 26.5 that scare me are George Kittle (85) and Raheem Mostert (31).